Network Effects & Friendly Developer Moats

Crypto assets are unique in the sense that they are either natively baked into a network or exist on top of a network. There are many crypto assets but one, in particular, deserves your attention. The network is known as Ethereum and it has a native asset called Ether. Ethereum has the most daily users, daily transaction volume, the total number of assets built on top of the network and most importantly, the number of developers.

While Bitcoin is #1 when it comes to total network market capitalization and general market awareness, Ethereum will continue to gain notoriety in the space as it can do what Bitcoin cannot do; smart contractsprogrammable money and decentralized applications. Ethereum has developed an incredible network effect and developer moat during its past four years of existence. This will cause it to not only continue to grow rapidly, but with compounding effects as shown by Metcalfe’s Law.

Network effect is a phenomenon whereby increased numbers of people (developers, companies…etc) or participants (users, investors…etc) improve the value of a good or service. One way to judge a crypto asset’s network effect is to look at projects built on the network.

In the case of Ethereum, there are currently more than 2,600 decentralized applications. In comparison, its closest competitors are EOS.IO and BlockStack which have 297 and 250 applications respectively.

The problem for Ethereum competitors is that they are still building the primitive building blocks that are necessary to create more complex applications. Ethereum has been developing these building blocks over the past few years and includes things like decentralized exchangesoracles, and stable coins. These allow developers to build more complex applications through what is known as composability — the ability to leverage existing projects in order to build something completely new.

Ethereum Building Blocks — Source is Delphi Digital

Source: Delphi Digital

One great example of composability is Set Protocol. This utilizes Ethereum, a stable coin (Dai, built in 2017) and decentralized exchange (KyberSwap, built in 2018) in order to create automated asset management strategies which are sometimes called “autonomous money robots.”

Ethereum Composability — Source is Delphi Digital

Source: Delphi Digital

While there are already projects looking to compose Set Protocol into the next mind-blowing application, Set is just one example of many projects that were created through Ethereum composability.

The term network effect is not new and what we are seeing now is nearly identical to the growth of the internet.

“The internet was of relatively little value to anyone outside of the military and some research scientists at first, but as more users gained access to the Internet, they produced more content, information, and services.” — Wikipedia

This snowball effect that happened in the early days of the internet is happening now with Ethereum.

This network effect tends to create immense stickiness with builders which forms a developer moat. The majority of developers do not want to recreate an entire ecosystem just to deploy their new application successfully. This creates a chicken and egg problem for new networks as developers want access to the basic building blocks to create interesting and complex use cases, which sends them directly to the vibrant Ethereum ecosystem.

This post has only just scratched the surface of Ethereum, which is a constantly evolving organism and is nowhere near its final form. While it’s nearly a full-time job keeping tabs on this lush ecosystem, I do my best. If interested in learning more, feel free to reach out to me directly and I’ll be sure to point you to the best resources.

Bitcoin Market Cycles and You

anthonypost2Let us analyze the Bitcoin Market Cycles and how the deeper know-how help in building a robust investment portfolio of future.  Market adjustment is inevitable and better not leave any stone untouched!!

The crypto asset market is highly emotional, full of noise and thus incredibly hard to navigate. This has created significant information asymmetry among participants, which can be a boon to investors who can be level headed and get proper signal. We are at an inflection point in a market that shows institutions are coming as critical infrastructure continues to come online. Most notably the launching of CME Futures in 2017, Fidelity Digital Assets in 2018, and now ICE’s BAKKT in 2019.

The crypto asset market has since been primarily dominated by retail investors but certainly has shown niche hedge funds in the mix as well. Interestingly enough, this once in a lifetime market has shown that not only has the average Joe not taken advantage of buying and selling opportunities, but even some of the most prominent hedge funds in the space did not have proper risk management.

If you are reading this article around the date of publishing, it is time you take notice of where we may be in the current market cycle. The chart below shows the past 3 Bitcoin market cycles, which consist of bull markets, bear markets and accumulation phases. Based on this chart, it appears we are entering a final re-accumulation phase before the next large bull market which would likely propel Bitcoin far higher than the previous $20,000 all time high.

It’s important to understand that this chart is not to be taken as gospel but more as a basic education reference point to help you understand market cycles. The re-accumulation phase may very well be shorter (or longer) than shown in the image.

Again, this market is highly emotional and causes most investors to focus on short term price action instead of gathering high quality information and positioning themselves properly for more significant midterm or long-term price action. The crypto asset market and associated high quality assets will continue to appreciate in value; don’t miss out on this once in a lifetime opportunity due to low quality information and short term thinking.

Thoroughly understanding the Bitcoin Market Cycles help you as investor to build a balanced growth portfolio. Learn more on why seasoned investors are including Cryptos like Bitcoin & Ethereum in their portfolios in 2019 & beyond!!

“Chart Of The Century” Gives Valuable Insight Into Cost of Living and Inflation

graph02c

A chart from economist Mark Perry, creator of the Carpe Diem blog, has been making the rounds on Twitter lately and is being hailed as “stunning” and “one of the most important charts about the economy this century”.

The chart examines the change in prices of various US Consumer goods, services, and wages over the past two decades.  Seen below, it shows how the price of consumer goods with strong foreign competition, such as TVs and toys, have plummeted while the cost of domestic services like healthcare and college tuition skyrocketed.

It helps pinpoint the reasons for the recent increase in market volatility, which some have blamed on inflation and rising wages.

The graphic above, which has made the rounds at the Federal Reserve, also hints at the effects of the possible reversal of globalization in the world economy, including higher inflation and the increased price of goods.  “We would have fewer choices, potentially less quality, less productivity, and higher prices if we reverse globalization,” said Timothy Adams, President of the Institute of International Finance, when discussing the chart’s implications.

It remains to be seen what the long term effects of the current trade tariffs will be, as they are designed to break down trade barriers, not create new ones.  Regardless, globalization has generally had a deflationary effect on free economies such as the U.S. and U.K. where competition comes from lower-cost foreign companies.

The Federal Reserve has indicated that they’ll consider a rise in the price of goods as a temporary outcome, and intend to focus more on growth than inflation.

Now is the time to protect yourself from any uncertainty in the markets by investing in Gold.  Take advantage of the sustained growth in the Gold markets while providing a safe haven for your assets.  Don’t miss out on this opportunity. Act now and reap the benefits.